正大管理学院

Panypiwat Institute of Management

工商管理哲学博士论文答辩公告 

Announcement of Ph.D. in Business Administration Dissertation Defense

姓名/Name：卢珍菊    MS. Zhenju Lu

学号/Student ID：5681104168

题目：人民币东盟区域化的影响因素研究

Title: RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCING FACTORS OF THE ASEAN REGIONALIZATION OF RMB

摘要/Abstract：见第二页, See Pages 2-4

主导师/Chief Adviser:  汤之敏   Dr. Zhimin Tang

日期/Date: 2017年1月14号             时间/Time: 10:00

地点/Location：CP ALL Academy 4-1502   休息室/Waiting Room：CP ALL Academy 4-1503

答辩委员会成员/Dissertation Committee：

徐志坚 教授（南京大学），答辩委员会主席  Prof. Dr. Zhijian Xu (Nanjing University), chair

汤之敏 教授，主导师                                           Prof. Dr. Dr. Zhimin Tang ,chief adviser

刘春生 教授，委员                                               Prof. Dr. Chunsheng Liu, committee member

包健 教授，委员                                                        Prof. Dr. Jian Bao, committee member

陈奡 博士，委员                                                   Dr. Ao Chen, committee member

备注/Note: 答辩现场对在读博士研究生和老师开放。Faculty, lecturer and doctoral students are welcome to observe.

摘要

中国经济的迅速发展唤起了人们对世界经济前景的思索, 而人民币作为国际化货币崛起的可能性则是这其中最引人注目的话题之一。在当前人民币国际化沿着周边化—区域化—国际化基本路径下，东盟成为人民币区域化的首选地区，且已具备了一定的现实基础。本文首先界定人民币东盟区域化程度，用人民币东盟区域化指数（RAI）表示，然后构建多元线性回归模型研究人民币东盟区域化程度的影响因素，通过对2009-2015 年的中国与东盟十国的面板数据分析，得出影响人民币东盟区域化程度的显著因素包括：中国的产出水平财富水平、经常项目规模、东盟国家短期利率水平、东盟国家汇率波动率、中国与东盟各国通货膨胀率的差异程度等。本文对实证结果进行客观分析并展开与其他文献结论的研究讨论,进行人民币东盟区域化的实证解读，结合中国与东盟国家经济社会发展的现实，从中国自身经济社会发展和中国与东盟国家经济金融合作两个层面提出推进人民币东盟区域化进程的政策建议。本文研究的东盟区域有着自身特点，区域内各国经济社会发展水平差距较大，研究的人民币作为全球第二大经济体国家的货币仍不是国际货币，因此，本文的研究丰富和延伸了货币国际化理论，在东盟研究人民币区域化问题尤其具有理论价值和现实意义。 

ABSTRACT

    The rapid development of China's economy aroused people's thinking to the world economic outlook, and the possibility of the rise of the RMB as an international currency is one of the most striking. In the current RMB internationalization around along the basic path, regionalization, internationalization, the association of ASEAN become the first region of the RMB regionalization, and has a certain realistic foundation. This article first define the degree of regionalization of ASEAN, the association of ASEAN on RMB regionalization index (RAI), and then build a multiple linear regression model to study the influence factors of the ASEAN regional level, through the 2009-2015 panel data analysis of China and ASEAN countries, it is concluded that the significant factors influencing the degree of the ASEAN regional include: the level of output level of wealth in China, often project scale, ASEAN countries short-term interest rates and exchange rate volatility ASEAN countries, China and ASEAN countries, degree of differences in the rate of inflation. In this paper, the empirical results and objective analysis and conclusion of research discussion, other literates in the ASEAN regional empirical interpretation, combining with the reality of economic and social development of China and ASEAN countries, from China's own economic and social development and economic and financial cooperation between China and ASEAN countries both the process of the ASEAN regional policy Suggestions are put forward. Have their own characteristics in this paper, we study the association ASEAN area, countries in this region's economic development level disparity is bigger, the research of the RMB as the world's second largest economy country's currency is not the international monetary, therefore, this research enriches and extends the currency internationalization theory, the research in the association of ASEAN RMB regionalization problem especially has theoretical value and practical significance.